The PP would secure five national deputies in the Mercia region in the event of general elections, being the only party to increase its representation compared to the four seats it obtained in the last elections in July 2023, as PSOE would maintain its three parliamentarians and VOX would also retain its two seats.
Meanwhile, according to the «Barometer of the Murcia Region-May 2025», based on a survey of 800 interviews conducted between April 29 and May 19 by the Spanish Observatory of UCAM (OBEDE), the current president would be the only one in power. The study shows that the PP would garner 45.5% of the votes in hypothetical general elections, up from the 41.5% secured in the July 2023 elections, resulting in an increase from four to five deputies.
On the other hand, PSOE would receive 24% of the votes, a decrease from the 25.5% obtained in July 2023, but would maintain its three deputies. As for VOX, it would currently receive 19.9% of the votes, a decrease from the 22% obtained in July 2023, but would keep its two seats.
In the July 2023 elections, the coalition with Podemos left Unida with 9.6% of the votes, granting them a seat in the region. However, in the hypothetical general elections, the left-wing coalition would only receive 4.8% of the votes, with Podemos also receiving 4.8%, which would not secure seats for either party.
The study highlights the potential disappearance of the left, penalized by its current fragmentation, but notes that if united, they could secure a seat. The abstention rate has increased from 31.3% in July 2023 to 35.11% currently, while the voter turnout has decreased from 68.68% two years ago to 64.89%.
The main issues highlighted in the current barometer include housing, immigration, political polarization, and distrust in institutions. The survey addresses both national and regional political situations, as well as the hierarchy of concerns and levels of worry, distinguishing between Spain and the Murcia region.
The study emphasizes the conservative voting trend in the Mercia region, with the PP gaining more support as age increases, peaking at over 36% among those over 65. PSOE maintains a steady 15% regardless of age, while Vox garners more support from those aged 31 to 44. Podemos and IU see higher representation among younger voters but lose support in older age groups.
The study also reveals that a significant portion of young voters remains disengaged, with four out of ten stating they will not vote. The PP seems to be benefiting from support from former Vox voters and disgruntled socialists, maintaining a strong position. PSOE remains steady, while Vox loses support to the PP and abstention. The former coalition of Podemos and IU is divided, with supporters shifting to abstention.
In terms of national political leaders, all are given low ratings by citizens, with Alberto Núñez Feijóo of the PP receiving the highest average score. Pedro Sánchez of the PSOE holds the top spot in terms of recognition, but his rating is lower than Feijóo’s. Santiago Abascal of Vox and Yolanda Díaz of Podemos rank lower, with Ione Belarra having the lowest rating and limited recognition.
Regional political leaders fare slightly better, with Fernando López Miras of the PPRM receiving the highest average score and visibility. Francisco Lucas of the PSRM, José Ángel Antelo of Vox, and María Marín of Podemos also receive moderate ratings, with López Miras maintaining notable support beyond his party base.
When asked about the future of the Murcia region, a significant portion prefer to continue governing independently, while others support advancing elections or forming a PP-VOX pact. Support for the current regional government increases with age, while the desire for a VOX agreement decreases.
This comprehensive study provides insights into the political landscape in the Mercia region, highlighting trends, preferences, and challenges faced by different parties and age groups.
FUENTE